Why Chris Ngige may lose Anambra election
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Posted by Felix Okoli on Monday September 30, 2013 at 9:4:42:
I'm not saying that Ngige will lose at the governorship election coming up in Anambra state but I'm saying that if he loses, it's likely going to be as a result of some factors which probably has to be a reflection of growing mistrust for him and his party.One of the reasons why he may lose may be because of his recent support for the Lagos governor in the deportation of people from Lagos to Onitsha. He made a recent statement in 2013 in support of the actions of Fashola, a fellow member of Ngige's party, the APC. That support he gave and Fashola's recent apology to the people may either help or weaken his political future in Anambra state. Ordinarily, Ngige is a popular politician in the state since he was a former governor and had a dramatic tenure, having being kidnapped and released by his supposed godfather. He was a member of the ruling PDP then and was able to become governor in a party that was mostly filled with billionaires and elite members of the society. Later however, Ngige joined a relatively new party, the AC and did win a senatorial seat to represent his constituency. However, since he joined the AC and now APC, many people, started seeing him as a Western styled politician and the only Anambra politician that identifies most closely with Yoruba people across the Niger.While there is probably nothing wrong for an Igbo politician in Anambra state to be in a party that has Yoruba people as it's majority, it would be facing some opposition with the ruling APGA, which is seen as an Igbo dominated party, at least in the state. Perhaps if Anambra APGA had merged with the APC, it would have perhaps, helped Ngige's ambition to become governor again.Secondly, since the merging of the Yoruba APC and Hausa CPC, parties like the ruling PDP and APGA still tend to hold the ace as they mock the new party based on religious and undemocratic grounds. The APC is at times presented to the pulbic as a Yoruba or Buhari party which have little respect for Igbo ideals and values. At times people are reminded that a lot of Igbo people were killed in states where the CPC is dominant and these are somehow termed Boko haram states"On the religious side, Anambra is mostly a Christian state while the new party, the APC is presented to the public as a muslim dominated party being made with a combination of Tinubu and Buhari who are mostly muslims.Another reason why Ngige's new party may not do so well in Anambra is probably because of the perceived autocratic nature of the party in the state which practically installed Ngige as their flagbearer without much internal democracy unlike other parties where people were allowed to freely contest.In summary, the basic points which other parties may use to challenge Ngige at the polls would be related to his tribal affiliation, religious and autocratic nature of his party as well as the destruction of Igbo life in CPC dominated states.If Chris Ngige goes ahead to win the election, in spite of some of the negative remarks about his new party, he is most likely going to remain a dominate force in Anambra politics for a long time. I won't be surprised however if he loses at the elections but somehow gets a win by going to to courts because that is how most AC or APC politicians are known to win.
Comments:
I'm not saying that Ngige will lose at the governorship election coming up in Anambra state but I'm saying that if he loses, it's likely going to be as a result of some factors which probably has to be a reflection of growing mistrust for him and his party.One of the reasons why he may lose may be because of his recent support for the Lagos governor in the deportation of people from Lagos to Onitsha. He made a recent statement in 2013 in support of the actions of Fashola, a fellow member of Ngige's party, the APC. That support he gave and Fashola's recent apology to the people may either help or weaken his political future in Anambra state. Ordinarily, Ngige is a popular politician in the state since he was a former governor and had a dramatic tenure, having being kidnapped and released by his supposed godfather. He was a member of the ruling PDP then and was able to become governor in a party that was mostly filled with billionaires and elite members of the society. Later however, Ngige joined a relatively new party, the AC and did win a senatorial seat to represent his constituency. However, since he joined the AC and now APC, many people, started seeing him as a Western styled politician and the only Anambra politician that identifies most closely with Yoruba people across the Niger.While there is probably nothing wrong for an Igbo politician in Anambra state to be in a party that has Yoruba people as it's majority, it would be facing some opposition with the ruling APGA, which is seen as an Igbo dominated party, at least in the state. Perhaps if Anambra APGA had merged with the APC, it would have perhaps, helped Ngige's ambition to become governor again.Secondly, since the merging of the Yoruba APC and Hausa CPC, parties like the ruling PDP and APGA still tend to hold the ace as they mock the new party based on religious and undemocratic grounds. The APC is at times presented to the pulbic as a Yoruba or Buhari party which have little respect for Igbo ideals and values. At times people are reminded that a lot of Igbo people were killed in states where the CPC is dominant and these are somehow termed Boko haram states"On the religious side, Anambra is mostly a Christian state while the new party, the APC is presented to the public as a muslim dominated party being made with a combination of Tinubu and Buhari who are mostly muslims.Another reason why Ngige's new party may not do so well in Anambra is probably because of the perceived autocratic nature of the party in the state which practically installed Ngige as their flagbearer without much internal democracy unlike other parties where people were allowed to freely contest.In summary, the basic points which other parties may use to challenge Ngige at the polls would be related to his tribal affiliation, religious and autocratic nature of his party as well as the destruction of Igbo life in CPC dominated states.If Chris Ngige goes ahead to win the election, in spite of some of the negative remarks about his new party, he is most likely going to remain a dominate force in Anambra politics for a long time. I won't be surprised however if he loses at the elections but somehow gets a win by going to to courts because that is how most AC or APC politicians are known to win.
Comments: